BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Fresno St

Class: 1 Class Rank: 130 Conference: Mountain West Record: (6-12) Overall: (11-19) Overall Strength =   24.84

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-07-2022 Home    W    24.84  69  56   ZZ  16 (  0-  1) Fresno Pacific         -0.00     13.00                      
  2 11-11-2022 Neutral L    18.73  54  61    1 112 ( 24-  7) UC Santa Barbara       -6.11     -0.89                      
  3 11-16-2022 Home    L    17.42  60  67    1  99 ( 20- 13) San Francisco          -7.42      0.42                      
  4 11-19-2022 Away    L    25.50  52  61    1  68 ( 25-  6) North Texas             0.66     -9.66                      
  5 11-23-2022 Neutral L    22.97  57  62    1  94 ( 16- 15) Washington             -1.87     -3.13                      
  6 11-24-2022 Neutral L    21.81  59  67    1  84 ( 18- 13) Vanderbilt             -3.03     -4.97                      
  7 12-03-2022 Away    W    45.25  80  66    1  98 ( 22- 10) UC Irvine              20.41     -6.41                      
  8 12-07-2022 Home    W    18.60  65  56    1 316 (  7- 24) CS Northridge          -6.24     15.24                      
  9 12-10-2022 Away    L    21.10  72  76    1 176 ( 15- 18) Pacific                -3.73     -0.27                      
 10 12-17-2022 Home    L    10.35  53  59    1 220 ( 14- 17) CS Sacramento         -14.49      8.49                      
 11 12-20-2022 Away    W    27.30  56  48    1 279 ( 10- 21) CS Bakersfield          2.46      5.54                      
 12 12-28-2022 Home    W *  25.88  58  53    1 137 (  9- 21) Wyoming                 1.04      3.96                      
 13 12-31-2022 Away    L *  26.19  54  67    1  24 ( 24-  7) Utah St                 1.35    -14.35                      
 14 01-03-2023 Home    W *  33.94  71  67    1  49 ( 21- 10) New Mexico              9.10     -5.10                      
 15 01-07-2023 Away    L *   8.70  57  79    1 103 ( 14- 17) Colorado St           -16.14     -5.86                      
 16 01-10-2023 Away    L *  20.36  64  74    1 101 ( 19- 12) San Jose St            -4.48     -5.52                      
 17 01-14-2023 Home    L *  17.70  48  51    1 143 ( 14- 17) Air Force              -7.14      4.14                      
 18 01-21-2023 Home    W *  38.92  76  63    1  90 ( 18- 12) UNLV                   14.08     -1.08                      
 19 01-24-2023 Away    L *  27.55  53  63    1  35 ( 23-  8) Boise St                2.71    -12.71                      
 20 01-28-2023 Home    L *  15.43  53  70    1  24 ( 24-  7) Utah St                -9.40     -7.60                      
 21 01-31-2023 Away    L *   4.63  62  85    1 137 (  9- 21) Wyoming               -20.21     -2.79                      
 22 02-03-2023 Away    W *  35.67  82  79    1  90 ( 18- 12) UNLV                   10.83     -7.83                      
 23 02-07-2023 Home    W *  31.61  70  62    1 101 ( 19- 12) San Jose St             6.77      1.23                      
 24 02-10-2023 Away    L *  25.46  66  77    1  50 ( 22-  9) Nevada                  0.63    -11.63                      
 25 02-15-2023 Home    L *  30.60  43  45    1  20 ( 24-  6) San Diego St            5.76     -7.76                      
 26 02-18-2023 Home    L *  20.95  57  60    1 103 ( 14- 17) Colorado St            -3.89      0.89                      
 27 02-21-2023 Away    W *  32.45  74  69    1 143 ( 14- 17) Air Force               7.61     -2.61                      
 28 02-24-2023 Home    L *  25.71  56  60    1  50 ( 22-  9) Nevada                  0.87     -4.87                      
 29 02-28-2023 Away    L *  22.69  80  94    1  49 ( 21- 10) New Mexico             -2.14    -11.86                      
 30 03-04-2023 Home    W    46.85 108  72    1 297 ( 11- 20) Chicago St             22.01     13.99                      
      Averages              24.84  63.6 65.6

Best game:   46.85 = 36 point win over Chicago St
Worst game:   4.63 = 23 point loss to Wyoming
Team stdev:   9.60